Sunday, May 17, 2009

Elections 2009: The final tally & how I fared

The election results really took me by surprise. Especially Tamil Nadu and North India. Never expected Congress to do well in the UP belt. Anyways, here's the final tally - partywise & statewise. In the brackets, is the number I had forecast.

Congress

NORTH - 53/126 (18/126)
Uttar Pradesh - 21/80 (4/80)
Uttar Khand - 5/5 (0/5)
Punjab - 8/13 (5/13)
Chandigarh - 1/1 (0/1)
Himachal - 1/4 (1/4)
Haryana - 9/10 (3/10)
Delhi - 7/7 (3/7)
J&K - 1/6 (2/6)

WEST - 63/143 (48/143)
Maharashtra - 17/48 (8/48)
Goa - 1/2 (1/2)
Daman - 0/1 (0/1)
Dadra Nagar - 0/1 (0/1)
Madhya Pradesh - 12/29 (12/29)
Chattisgarh - 1/11 (4/11)
Rajasthan - 20/25 (15/25)
Gujarat - 11/26 (8/26)

SOUTH - 62/131 (46/131)
Kerala - 13/20 (10/20)
Karnataka - 6/28 (9/28)
Tamil Nadu - 8/39 (3/39)
Pondichery - 1/1 (1/1)
Andhra - 33/42 (22/42)
Lakshadweep - 1/1 (1/1)

EAST - 27/143 (31/143)
Bihar - 2/40 (0/40)
Jharkand - 1/14 (4/14)
West Bengal - 7/42 (7/42)
Orissa - 6/21 (12/21)
Assam - 7/14 (4/14)
Arunachal - 1/2 (2/2)
Tripura - 0/2 (1/2)
Mizoram - 0/1 (1/1)
Manipur - 2/2 (1/2)
Meghalaya - 1/2 (1/2)
Nagaland - 0/1 (0/1)
Andamans - 0/1 (0/1)
Sikkim - 0/1 (0/1)

TOTAL - - 205/543 (143/543)

Conclusion: Forecast way off mark.

BJP

NORTH - 14/126 (26/126)
Uttar Pradesh - 10/80 (6/80)
Uttar Khand - 0/5 (4/5)
Punjab - 1/13 (3/13)
Chandigarh - 0/1 (1/1)
Himachal - 3/4 (3/4)
Haryana - 0/10 (3/10)
Delhi - 0/7 (4/7)
J&K - 0/6 (2/6)

WEST - 57/143 (48/143)
Maharashtra - 9/48 (18/48)
Goa - 1/2 (1/2)
Daman - 1/1 (1/1)
Dadra Nagar - 1/1 (1/1)
Madhya Pradesh - 16/29 (17/29)
Chattisgarh - 10/11 (7/11)
Rajasthan - 4/25 (9/25)
Gujarat - 15/26 (18/26)

SOUTH - 19/131 (14/131)
Kerala - 0/20 (0/20)
Karnataka - 19/28 (14/28)
Tamil Nadu - 0/39 (0/39)
Pondichery - 0/1 (0/1)
Andhra - 0/42 (0/42)
Lakshadweep - 0/1 (0/1)

EAST - 26/143 (26/143)
Bihar - 12/40 (10/40)
Jharkand - 8/14 (8/14)
West Bengal - 1/42 (0/42)
Orissa - 0/21 (6/21)
Assam - 4/14 (3/14)
Arunachal - 0/2 (1/2)
Tripura - 0/2 (0/2)
Mizoram - 0/1 (0/1)
Manipur - 0/2 (0/2)
Meghalaya - 1/2 (1/2)
Nagaland - 0/1 (0/1)
Andamans - 1/1 (1/1)
Sikkim - 0/1 (0/1)

TOTAL - - 116/543 (130/543)

Conclusion: A little off the mark.


Third Front

NORTH - 19/126 (44/126)
Uttar Pradesh - 19/80 (44/80)
Uttar Khand - 0/5 (0/5)
Punjab - 0/13 (0/13)
Chandigarh - 0/1 (0/1)
Himachal - 0/4 (0/4)
Haryana - 0/10 (0/10)
Delhi - 0/7 (0/7)
J&K - 0/6 (0/6)

WEST - 1/143 (0/143)
Maharashtra - 0/48 (18/48)
Goa - 0/2 (0/2)
Daman - 0/1 (0/1)
Dadra Nagar - 0/1 (0/1)
Madhya Pradesh - 1/29 (0/29)
Chattisgarh - 0/11 (0/11)
Rajasthan - 0/25 (0/25)
Gujarat - 0/26 (0/26)

SOUTH - 42/131 (51/131)
Kerala - 6/20 (4/20)
Karnataka - 3/28 (5/28)
Tamil Nadu - 25/39 (9/39)
Pondichery - 0/1 (0/1)
Andhra - 8/42 (14/42)
Lakshadweep - 0/1 (0/1)

EAST - 32/143 (35/143)
Bihar - 0/40 (0/40)
Jharkand - 0/14 (0/14)
West Bengal - 16/42 (28/42)
Orissa - 14/21 (6/21)
Assam - 0/14 (0/14)
Arunachal - 0/2 (0/2)
Tripura - 2/2 (1/2)
Mizoram - 0/1 (0/1)
Manipur - 0/2 (0/2)
Meghalaya - 0/2 (0/2)
Nagaland - 0/1 (0/1)
Andamans - 0/1 (0/1)
Sikkim - 0/1 (0/1)

TOTAL - - 94/543 (130/543)

Conclusion: Off mark by a distance.

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